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Desktop Linux Consortium Conference debuts

By Lee Schlesinger on November 11, 2003 (8:00:00 AM)

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In years to come, I may be able to say I was there at the birth of a new trade show. This week's premiere Desktop Linux Consortium Conference could someday become another LinuxWorld. Of course today it's a babe in diapers, but given the ready access attendees had to important players in the Linux desktop world, this conference has huge growth potential.

The Desktop Linux Consortium was formed earlier this year with the three-part goal of educating, advocating, and connecting Linux desktop software. Its first conference was a big step toward the third goal, according to DLC Chairman Jeremy White. Attendees included a mix of IT staffers, corporate management, ISVs, and press. Held at Boston University's Corporate Education Center in remote Tyngsborough, Mass., it featured two rooms of breakout seminars plus a large auditorium for general sessions. Most trade shows have an exposition floor featuring relevant products; this conference featured half a dozen vendors showing their wares on tables in the hallway outside the auditorium.

DLC Executive Director Bruce Perens began the day's presentations by noting that Linux is not developed by vendors as much as by its users. He said that today Linux provides all the software necessary for 80% of workers to do their jobs. He projected Linux would run on 30% of enterprise desktops by 2006.

Perens was the first of several speakers to say that, as the business of making a Linux distribution is only marginally economically viable, Linux vendors should be viewed as service providers, not software developers. To that end, he proposed a user-supported enterprise distro, where companies would pay for the software engineering rather than per seat. Perens suggested a so-called User Linux should be in the context of the Debian system except for software that Debian would not accept, such a non-open source 3D drivers. Multiple independent vendors would support his distro, and current companies would add value by servicing particular industry sectors.

Perens also commented on some recent industry developments. He predicted IBM would buy Novell, or at least continue to be its financial sugar daddy, and noted that SCO has not been able to provide evidence to support any of it allegations against Linux vendors. He said software patents are the largest enemy of open source, and "they could stop us dead." After software patenting, he said digital rights management is the largest threat to open source.

Citing recent stories of governments favoring open source, Perens suggested large companies and governments specify in their purchasing policies a requirement for products to use file formats and interchangable protocols that other products can use, instead of requiring open source products.

The peak of inflated expectations

Ximian co-founder Nat Friedman spoke more on Linux desktop trends. He noted that today, on the Gartner hype cycle, Linux desktop is right at the "peak of inflated expectations." Realistically speaking, Google statistics show that 1% of user agents hitting the search site run under Linux.

Friedman talked about what kinds of desktops Linux is suitable for. Engineering worktations, he said, are an easy choice for Linux desktop deployment. Next easiest are workers who run captive business applications like point of sale and customer relationship management. The hardest are the desktops of general knowledge workers, because of the need to migrate custom applications. Barriers to desktop Linux are application availability and interoperability of file formats and protocols, as well as support costs, Friedman said.

Friedman said Linux desktop migration is happening outside of the US first. Other countries, he said, see Linux as the alternative to the American Microsoft. He said migration drivers are control and choice; strategic, emotional, and political reasons carry more weight than cost.

In response to an audience question, Friedman said Novell is analyzing whether to port Ximian's Evolution application to run on Windows as a step migration tool. He said his company is developing a policy management tool for Evolution and the entire Gnome desktop, to be released in 2004. He noted that Novell's strategy is that the client software should be free, but customers pay for resource management and server software.

After these general sessions the attendees split up to attend breakout sessions on three different tracks. Each of the three sessions lasted 30 or 45 minutes. Among them, Mark Westerman introduced Security-Enhanced Linux; Chris Lahey presented the GNOME desktop; and Jeremy White and Jim Curtin, CEOs of CodeWeavers and NeTraverse, talked about products for transitioning from Windows to Linux desktops. Other speakers included Sam Greenblatt of Computer Associates's Linux Technology Group, Jim McQuillan of the Linux Terminal Server Project, and Havoc Pennington of Freedesktop.org.

After lunch attendees gathered in the auditorium again to hear IBM's Sam Docknevich's perspective on Linux on the desktop. Docknevich said the Linux market shows a compound annual growth rate of 44%, with a projected 10% of new unit sales and a 7% installed base by 2006. He said 14,000 internal IBM users use Linux desktop today.

Usually, Docknevich said, the move to Linux is caused by a trigger event, such as the existing desktop OS reaching the end of its product lifecycle. Docknevich recommended organizations in that position perform a segmentation study to identify current hardware and data, then analyze the TCO and ROI and map existing applications to open source alternatives. He presented three technology approaches: thin client/portal (which he said is practical today thanks to high bandwidth), slim/hybrid (managed desktops), and the traditional fat/thick client.

After Docknevich's presentation it was time for the afternoon breakouts. One of the most interesting was by John Terpstra, CTO of PrimaStasys and former VP/Technology of Caldera, whose talk was titled "State-of-the art FLOSS: No roadblocks ahead." Given that Caldera was the progenitor of today's SCO, Terpstra should know whereof he speaks.

Terpstra denied the validity of the concept of intellectual property. He rebutted some common arguments against Linux: FLOSS does not destroy innovation, he said, since users are not forced to update. That forces businesses to focus on customer service, and makes technology a commodity. All products tend toward commoditization, which increases the need for innovation.

Terpstra sees two possible software market models. In one, a monopoly chooses its customers by setting price points that only some can afford. Technology is a tool to coerce updates, and the monopoly seeks government control of intellectual property. Monopolies are highly valued by investors, and work to balance profits against the cost of development, limiting innovation.

On the other hand are standardized commodity software markets, which use free market forces. With such software only distribution is economically driven. Echoing Perens's earlier remarks, Terpstra said service becomes key for these kinds of companies.

Other sessions were less challenging, tending toward advertisements for the presents' companies' products. Xandros Chairman Frederick Berenstein, for instance, said that to reach the mass market, a desktop product must be easy to install, must have a familiar look and feel, and offer the ability to use legacy documents, all of which, he showed, Xandros does. At the same time, he said people will migrate to Linux just because they hate Microsoft. Berenstein said Xandros Desktop 2.0 will be in stores in December, and hinted that an enterprise version of Xandros, slated for release in January, will include a Computer Associates antivirus tool.

Other afternoon speakers included Holger Dyroff of SuSE, Sam Hiser of OpenOffice.org, and George Straikos of KDE.

Despite all the valuable information, the conference was not without glitches. Many of the sessions planned for the original three tracks failed to materialize as advertised, but the planners were able to substitute sessions of equal value. The organizers allowed too little time for lunch and no time for breaks between sessions, leading to confusion in the timing of afternoon breakout sessions. Attendees who wanted to attend presentations in different tracks found themselves coming in too early or too late.

There was also evidence of religious zealotry among the participants. One audience member attacked IBM's Docknevich for admitting he doesn't yet run desktop Linux himself. Others were nonplussed to see that the majority of slideware presentations were given in PowerPoint rather than OpenOffice.org Impress.

At the start of the conference Bruce Perens thanked the Consortium's Jill Ratkevic for coming up with the idea of a conference and doing all the groundwork to make it happen. The whole community owes Ratkevic a vote of thanks. Next year, who knows what the DLC Conference might blossom into?

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on Desktop Linux Consortium Conference debuts

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Who cares about the desktop?

Posted by: SarsSmarz on November 12, 2003 05:11 AM
Controversial title, simply meaning that desktop people may experience the next big job crash. All of these tech cycles had their boom and crash: rails, ships, aviation, manufacturing, telecom, retail.

If you looked at any industry where things hadn't changed for 30 years, they would be next (I remember looking at a factory 30 years ago, where one person's job was just to put a single piece of metal in a stamping machine all day). For the general office worker, things haven't changed since the 50's! MS enjoyed the typical boom, where every single desktop had to have a computer, much like every stagecoach trail had to have a railway. Right now, Dilbert shows there is considerable over-capacity in the desktop biz.

Bureaucracy cannot change from within, and luckily for the 'general knowledge worker', MS didn't add a scrap of productivity, but change is coming. It will start with whole countries, such as Finland, streamlining legal requirements, and eventually everything crumbles down to its natural levels. The US will be the last, due to tenacious lawyers and complex tax codes.

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Re:Who cares about the desktop?

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on November 12, 2003 07:42 AM
I wish I could believe that things would crash down to their natural levels, but I don't.
I think you don't understand the power or determination of the American plutocracy in its drive for domination - not only of the rest of the countries, but of all individuals.

I'm also not convinced of the '30 years of no change' argument.
Railroads were superceded by road and air networks set up by the American government.
The Internet was a government project.
In fact, no important technology since the Second World War has emerged which did not get its impetous and all of its early funding from the government.
Most of these technologies, in fact, derive from war research.

So we don't live in a free market economic system and haven't since probably the Ist World War.
Before our leaders would see their goal of total domination disrupted, they would take us into a dark age.
If 'it all crashes down', most of the rest of our societies will go with it.

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mentioned in the NY Times

Posted by: DCallaghan on November 12, 2003 06:09 AM
Since the NY Times requires registration, I figured I'd mention that the article
I.B.M. Helps Promote Linux at www.nytimes.com/2003/11/11/technology/11blue.html also reported on the conference.

They concentrated mostly on IBM and the Open Source Development Lab, quoting from IBM's Samuel J. Docknevich and OSDL's and Stuart F. Cohen.

Its a positive and factual article. Windows sells more, but Linux is growing rapidly. Objectively, if I was a non-technical NYTimes reader, I would have a favorable impression of Linux from this article.

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Attendance?

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on November 12, 2003 11:53 AM
How many people were there?

I live in San Diego and was was at the Desktop Linux Summit held here last February and there were 500 attendees. I heard that this conference didn't have very many people there. Can anyone confirm this?

The high cost of admission ($250+) may have hurt them. It's funny how Bruce Perens talks about expensive "propriatary" Linux, yet charges so much for his conference. Isn't he all about "free?"

Roger

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Re:Attendance?

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on November 13, 2003 08:03 AM
The high cost of admission ($250+) may have hurt them. It's funny how Bruce Perens talks about expensive "propriatary" Linux, yet charges so much for his conference. Isn't he all about "free?"

It's free as in freedom, not price, and you know it.

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Correction

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on November 12, 2003 08:02 PM
The name of the KDE developer is George Staikos.

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